![]() So while I might feel a bit guilty about posting yet again on this topic - really? can’t he think of anything else? - judging from the popularity of posts on this topic, I’m not alone with this obsession: Plus, the test will correlate with what we need to know - how likely am I to spread the virus to another person? Can we open schools? Bars and restaurants? Start having concerts? Business and scientific conferences? Go to barbers and hair salons? Safely triage patients? Screen people in nursing homes, homeless shelters, prisons? ![]() Done as easy (and as frequently) as making a cup of coffee. With rapid turnaround time (15-30 minutes), actionable that day. Which means that before we have an effective vaccine, the only thing that will help us interact safely with others is to test, test, and test some more - even when we don’t have symptoms.Ī test you can do at home. If we want to explain how this virus caused the largest global pandemic in over a century, those three facts will do just fine. No amount of counseling or symptom screening or temperature sensing or other infection control theater can prevent pre-symptomatic people from mingling with others. This is particularly true in the day before symptoms occur, the dreaded “pre-symptomatic” period. People may be highly contagious without knowing it.A pre-print server just posted an excellent study modeling these events, appropriately entitled, “Wrong person, place and time”. These events are far more likely to occur in indoor spaces with poor ventilation - hence the critical need for masking indoors. “Superspreader” events happen when a person who has a high amount of virus comes in contact with a crowd or crowds.A small number of people account for a large number of cases. The handy estimate is that only 10-20% of people account for transmission of 80% of cases - it’s called “over-dispersion,” and is one important way that COVID-19 differs from influenza.This is how I felt when research revealed three key findings related to COVID-19 transmission: If you’re not familiar with the phrase, we can’t do better than our friends from Merriam-Webster:Īha moment (noun): a moment of sudden realization, inspiration, insight, recognition, or comprehension You know that feeling when you have an aha moment. ![]()
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